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with this hypothesis, we show that a one-standard-deviation increase in aggregate uncertainty amplifies the predictive … ability of sentiment for market returns by two to four times relative to when uncertainty is at its mean. We find similar … sensitive to sentiment and for anomaly returns is substantially larger in times of higher uncertainty. The results hold for both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216707
Systematic mispricing primarily affects speculative stocks and predominantly results in overpricing, predicting lower … exposure to systematic mispricing can bias tests of risk-return tradeoffs. Controlling for systematic mispricing, we recover … models can be recovered by accounting for time-varying common mispricing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388392
This article investigates the pricing of volatility risk in agricultural commodity markets. We show theoretically that the cost of bearing volatility risk can be measured using returns to delta-neutral straddles. Using a sample of options for five commodities (corn, soybeans, Chicago wheat, live...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889824
The investment management industry has developed such a wide range of trading strategies, that many investors feel lost when they have to choose the investment style that meets their requirements. Comparing these on a like-for-like basis is a difficult task about which much has been written. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050989
A time homogeneous, purely discontinuous, parsimonous Markov martingale model is proposed for the risk neutral dynamics of equity forward prices. Transition probabilities are in the variance gamma class with spot dependent parameters. Markov chain approximations give access to option prices. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064149
The authors examined whether stocks with higher left-tail risk measures earn higher or lower futures returns. Specifically, the authors estimate the cross-sectional principal component of a battery of left-tail risk measures and analyze future returns on stocks with high principal component...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014429312
This paper implements a novel model-free methodology to measure skewness risk premia in individual stocks. The methodology takes the form of a trading strategy, a skewness swap. The return on the strategy shows a significant positive skewness risk premium in individual stocks. The risk premium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011899675
The term structure of equity risk has been shown to be downward sloping. We capture this feature using return dynamics driven by both a transitory and a permanent component. We study the asset allocation and portfolio performance when transitory and permanent components cannot be observed and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835339
preferences to lottery outcomes. Ever since the analysis of decision making under uncertainty has again become a major focus of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096329
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012872635