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Prior studies show that investor learning about earnings-based return predictors from academic research erodes return predictability. However, the signaling power of “bottom-line” earnings has declined over time, which complicates assessments of investor learning about profitability signals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891102
The Post-Earnings Announcement Drift (PEAD) anomaly refers to the tendency of stock prices to continue drifting in the same direction as earnings surprises well through the subsequent earnings announcements; ignoring the autocorrelations in extreme earnings surprises across adjacent quarters....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090197
This paper reveals that in addition to fundamental factors, the 52-week high price and recent investor sentiment play an important role in analysts' target price formation. Analysts' forecasts of short-term earnings and long-term earnings growth are shown to be important explanatory variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857242
We survey the textual sentiment literature, comparing and contrasting the various information sources, content analysis methods, and empirical models that have been used to date. We summarize the important and influential findings about how textual sentiment impacts on individual, firm-level and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007694
This paper reviews the literature examining how costs of monitoring for, acquiring, and analyzing firm disclosures – collectively, “disclosure processing costs” – affect investor information choices, trades, and market outcomes. The existence of disclosure processing costs means that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847855
Option market activity increases by more than 10 percent in the four days before quarterly earnings announcements. We show that the direction of this pre-announcement trading foreshadows subsequent earnings news. Specifically, we find option traders initiate a greater proportion of long (short)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014123888
It is well documented in the empirical literature that employee stock options exercise behavior is driven by economic/rational factors as well as by psychological/behavioral factors. The latter include a set of behavioral biases affecting attitudes towards risk. Perhaps the most comprehensive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091803
This study investigates security analysts' reactions to public management guidance and assesses whether managers successfully guide analysts toward beatable earnings targets. We use a panel dataset between 1995 and 2001 to examine the fiscal-quarter-specific determinants of management guidance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014058280
This article develops an agent-based model of security market pricing process, capable to capture main stylised facts. It features collective market pricing mechanisms based upon evolving heterogeneous expectations that incorporate signals of security issuer fundamental performance over time....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970505
In this paper, the interaction between the investor's knowledge about a manager's information endowment interacts and their ability to gauge the manager's exact information content upon voluntary disclosure is studied. If investors are unable to discern anything beyond the manager's information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953031