This paper presents an approach to computing economic capital and to pricing bond insurance portfolios. Since bond insurers face losses that are highly correlated and dependent on the business cycles, we enhance the structural approach of Merton (1974) by incorporating business cycles using a...

In this paper, we develop a methodology to model the risk of losses resulting from a natural disaster in which the intensity parameter of the non-homogeneous Poisson process has an upward trend and a seasonal component. We apply this model to losses due to floods in the Financial Assistance...

We investigate the impact of credit spreads on the stochastic duration and convexity of corporate bonds with respect to the same metrics for equivalent Treasury bonds. We show that the credit spread has two interacting effects on both the duration and the convexity of a corporate coupon bond as...

The current paper provides a general approach to construct distortion operators that can price financial and insurance risks. Our approach generalizes the Wang (2000) transform and recovers multiple distortions proposed in the literature as particular cases. This approach enables designing...