In 2005-08, over a dozen put warrants traded in China went so deep out of the money that they were almost certain to expire worthless. Nonetheless, each warrant was traded more than three time each day at substantially inflated prices. This bubble is unique in that the underlying stock prices...

In 2005-08, over a dozen put warrants traded in China went so deep out of the money that they were certain to expire worthless. Nonetheless, each warrant was traded nearly three times each day at substantially inflated prices. This bubble is unique, because the underlying stock prices make the...

We analyze whether mid-level managers in securitized finance were aware of a large-scale housing bubble and a looming crisis in 2004-2006 using their personal home transaction data. We find that the average person in our sample neither timed the market nor were cautious in their home...

Value-at-risk (VaR) is an important risk measure now widely used by financial institutions and regulators to quantify market risk and compute regulatory capital charge. The performance of VaR model can be examined by back-testing. Based on back-testing information, this paper develops a Machine...