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Recent academic work has developed a method to determine, in real time, if a given stock is exhibiting a price bubble. Currently there is speculation in the financial press concerning the existence of a price bubble in the aftermath of the recent IPO of LinkedIn. We analyze stock price tick data...
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This paper studies asset price bubbles in a continuous time model using the local martingale framework. Providing careful definitions of the asset's market and fundamental price, we characterize all possible price bubbles in an incomplete market satisfying the "no free lunch with vanishing risk...
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This paper develops a new model for studying foreign currency exchange rate bubbles. The model constructed is a modification of the Martingale-based bubble approach of Jarrow, Protter, and Shimbo [12], [13]. This model generates some new insights into our understanding of exchange rate bubbles...
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This paper provides invariance theorems that facilitate testing for the existence of an asset price bubble in a market where the price evolves as a Markov diffusion process. The test involves only the properties of the price process’ quadratic variation under the statistical probability. It...
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