Showing 1 - 10 of 4,050
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003774225
The low rate of inflation observed in the U.S. over the entire past decade is hard to reconcile with traditional … the job explains this missing inflation. We derive this novel concept of slack from a model in which a drop in the on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012222536
Regarding inflation as being a monetary phenomenon in the long-run is a widely-held view in modern macro economics. We … analyse this topic by means of a P-star model. Based on the quantity theory of money, this approach explains inflation via a …-specific models for 110 economies, and also a pooled system thereof. We test for cointegration among money, prices, and real output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011419407
We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between out- put, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the coefficient in the Phillips curve on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636803
Beaudry and Portier (2006) provide support for the "news view" of the business cycle, using a vector error correction model. We show that this result hinges on a cointegrating relationship between TFP and stock prices that is not stationary, thus making the estimates not reliable. If we alter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181050
and Karanasos (2008) to examine the intertemporal relationship between the uncertainties of inflation and output growth in … the US. We find that inflation uncertainty effects output variability positively, while output variability has a negative … effect on inflation uncertainty. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003770689
framework we examine the twelve potential intertemporal relationships between inflation, growth and their respective … uncertainties using US data. We find that high inflation is detrimental to output growth both directly and indirectly via the … nominal uncertainty. Output growth boosts inflation but mainly indirectly through a reduction in real uncertainty. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008758143
Harry Johnson's 1971 ideas about the factors affecting the success of the Keynesian Revolution and the Monetarist Counter-revolution are summarised and extended to the analysis of the Rational Expectations - New Classical (RE-NC) Revolution It is then argued that, whereas Monetarism brought...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765542
We study the relation between inflation and real activity over the business cycle. We employ a Trend-Cycle VAR model to … control for low-frequency movements in inflation, unemployment, and growth that are pervasive in the post-WWII period. We show … that cyclical fluctuations of inflation are related to cyclical movements in real activity and unemployment, in line with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247995
We propose a multicountry quantile factor augmeneted vector autoregression (QFAVAR) to model heterogeneities both across countries and across characteristics of the distributions of macroeconomic time series. The presence of quantile factors allows for summarizing these two heterogeneities in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014314068