The assessment of the direction of fiscal policy is both important and controversial. Because budgets are influenced by business cycles, disentangling the underlying fiscal position from the effect of the business cycle is difficult. The two main methods used by international institutions to...

This paper is a comprehensive analysis of Hungary’s potential output. Since the concept of potential output is not unique, we present various interpretations of potential GDP, along with a large set of techniques for estimating it. Various estimates are presented and robustness analyses are...