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This paper analyses US nominal house prices at an annual frequency over the period from 1927 to 2022 by means of a very general time series model. This includes both a (linear and non-linear) deterministic and a stochastic component, with the latter allowing for fractional orders of integration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014427184
In this paper we propose a new modelling framework for the analysis of macro series that includes both stochastic trends and stochastic cycles in addition to deterministic terms such as linear and non-linear trends. We examine four US macro series, namely annual and quarterly real GDP and GDP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011746636
In this paper we propose a new modelling framework for the analysis of macro series that includes both stochastic trends and stochastic cycles in addition to deterministic terms such as linear and non-linear trends. We examine four US macro series, namely annual and quarterly real GDP and GDP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011750067
This paper makes a twofold contribution. First, it develops the dynamic factor model of by allowing for fractional integration instead of imposing the classical dichotomy between I(0) stationary and I(1) non-stationary series. This more general setup provides valuable information on the degree...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015272692
This paper makes a twofold contribution, First, it develops the dynamic factor model of Barigozzi et al. (2016) by allowing for fractional integration instead of imposing the classical dichotomy between I(0) stationary and I(1) non-stationary series. This more general setup provides valuable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015125374
This paper proposes a long-memory model including multiple cycles in addition to the long-run component. Specifically, instead of a single pole or singularity in the spectrum, it allows for multiple poles and thus different cycles with different degrees of persistence. It also incorporates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014470433
law with a focus on the dynamic part of the relationship. We find that the negative relationship between unemployment and … misspecification of the short run unemployment-output relationship. A mixed lag structure indirectly controls for missing explanatory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012040048
unemployment that is in line with other emerging markets and regional peers. We also find that the relationship has been somewhat … components of GDP may cause different unemployment reactions, an important issue that has not been sufficiently addressed in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011965249
unemployment that is in line with this empirical regularity and the findings for the other emerging markets and regional peers. We … European debt crisis. When investigating whether various expenditure components of GDP may cause different unemployment … improve forecasting of unemployment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011981843
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012819299