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We introduce frictional financial intermediation into a HANK model. Households are subject to idiosyncratic and aggregate risk and smooth consumption through savings and consumer loans intermediated by banks. The banking friction introduces an endogenous countercyclical spread between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705511
consistent with the data. Banking regulation, while stabilizing at the aggregate level, may induce volatility at the household …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480275
We use a factor model with stochastic volatility to decompose the time-varying variance of Macro economic and Financial … component plays an important role in driving the time-varying volatility of nominal and financial variables. The cross …-country co-movement in volatility of real and financial variables has increased over time with the common component becoming more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011306276
We develop a VAR that allows the estimation of the impact of monetary policy shocks on volatility. Estimates for the US … suggest that an increase in the policy rate by 1% is associated with a rise in unemployment and inflation volatility of about … these volatility effects are driven by the coexistence of agents' fears of unemployment and concerns about the (in) ability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011928806
household counterpart. In the RA model the risk premium shock is the main driver of output volatility in order to match …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907972
We seek to quantify the impact on euro area GDP of the European Economic Recovery Plan (EERP) enacted in response to the financial crisis of 2008-09. To do so, we estimate an extended version of the ECB's New Area-Wide Model with a richly specified fiscal sector. The estimation results point to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100017
The existing literature on estimated structural News Driven Business Cycle (NDBC) models has focused almost exclusively on macroeconomic data and has largely ignored asset prices. In this paper, we present evidence that including data on asset prices in the estimation of a structural NDBC model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013067113
After the recent banking crisis in 2008, financial market conditions have turned out to be a relevant factor for economic fluctuations. This paper provides a quantitative assessment of the impact of financial frictions on the U.S. business cycle. The analysis compares the original Smets and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071832
Estimated DSGE models have become the standard workhorse model for empirically based macroeconomic analysis in recent years. In this paper, we present an estimated DSGE model for Denmark. The model has been estimated using Bayesian methods and a dataset consisting of 23 macroeconomic variables....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010224820
DSGE models are typically estimated using Bayesian methods, but a researcher may want to estimate a DSGE model with full information maximum likelihood (FIML) so as to avoid the use of prior distributions. A very robust algorithm is needed to find the global maximum within the relevant parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011407664