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We review the literature on uncertainty shocks and business cycle research. First, we motivate the study of uncertainty shocks by documenting the presence of time-variation in the volatility of macroeconomic time series. Second, we enumerate the mechanisms that researchers have postulated to...
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endogenous term premium. Using term structure and macroeconomic data, we find sizable effects of uncertainty on risk premia and … analytical decomposition to illustrate how multiple distinct endogenous risk wedges account for these differences. Supply and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362538
Financial Crisis was associated with an increase in both risk aversion and ambiguity aversion, while the Dot-com Crisis only … affected risk aversion. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014364652
this approach facilitates the close-to-realtime identification of both the magnitude of an uncertainty shock as well as its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015272160
This paper evaluates the effects of high-frequency uncertainty shocks on a set of lowfrequency macroeconomic variables that are representative of the U.S. economy. Rather than estimating models at the same common low-frequency, we use recently developed econometric models, which allows us to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476374
This paper examines the behavior of remittances over the business cycle and their potential to act as a stabilizer during periods of high business cycle volatility. Four main findings are reported. First, in theory, the cyclical behavior of remittances depends on the motives to remit. Second,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011453670
margin of flexibility in coping with adverse shocks. In this setting, we simulate a risk shock that propagates its effects in …
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