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We find that periods of elevated EPU are associated with higher analyst disagreement, a decrease in forecast accuracy, and a higher degree of conservatism. We show that the decrease in forecast accuracy can be partially attributed to limited attention. A higher level of EPU attracts analysts’...
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We study the effect of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on sell-side analysts' forecasts, and how it interact with the stock-market response to a firm's earnings news. We find that analysts tend to disagree more when faced with higher levels of EPU, and that their forecasts tend to be less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834041
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This paper reviews the empirical literature on heterogeneous beliefs and asset price dynamics that challenges the traditional rational agent framework. Emphasis is given to the validation and estimation of (dynamic) heterogeneous agent models that have their roots in the agent-based literature....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946094
This paper reviews the empirical literature on heterogeneous beliefs and asset price dynamics that challenges the traditional rational agent framework. Emphasis is given to the validation and estimation of (dynamic) heterogeneous agent models that have their roots in the agent-based literature....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943242