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We show that decomposing macroeconomic risks across horizon is key to uncover a tight link between risk premia and the real economy. Exposure in four-year returns to innovations in macroeconomic growth and volatility with a matching half-life of over four years is priced in a wide variety of...
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We classify asset pricing anomalies into those that exacerbate mispricing (build-up anomalies) and those that resolve it (resolution anomalies). To this end, we estimate the dynamics of price wedges for a large number of well-known anomaly portfolios in the factor zoo and map them to firm-level...
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We study the returns to characteristic-sorted portfolios up to five years after portfolio formation. Among a set of 56 characteristics, we find large pricing errors between the contemporaneous returns of new and old sorts, where new sorts use the most recent observations of firm characteristics....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842652
We show that a business-cycle component of consumption growth (dubbed business-cycle consumption) with cycles between 2 and 4 years is effective in explaining the differences in risk premia across alternative test assets, including recently-proposed anomaly portfolios. We formalize the mapping...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856904
We estimate agents' expectations about future fundamentals using a dynamic stochastic generalequilibrium model augmented with anticipated shocks. Accounting for agents' expectations atthe business cycle horizon results in aggregate risk factor innovations that have significant explanatory power...
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