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An affine no-arbitrage asset pricing framework is developed that allows for agents to have rational but heterogeneous expectations. The framework can match both bond yields and the observed dispersion of yield expectations in survey data. heterogeneous information introduces a speculative...
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A Bayesian asset pricing test is derived that is easily computed in closed form from the standard F-statistic. Given a set of candidate traded factors, we develop a related test procedure that permits the computation of model probabilities for the collection of all possible pricing models that...
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This paper examines an equilibrium asset pricing model with Epstein-Zin preferences in which the beliefs about the fundamentals in the Macroeconomy are time varying. A vector autoregression with time varying parameters and stochastic volatilities of consumption growth and inflation is estimated...
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We show how to conduct asymptotically valid tests of model comparison when the extent of model mispricing is gauged by the squared Sharpe ratio improvement measure. This is equivalent to ranking models on their maximum Sharpe ratios, effectively extending the GRS test to accommodate comparison...
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