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Presentation Slides for "Overconfidence, Arbitrage, and Equilibrium Asset Pricing" This paper offers a model in which asset prices reflect both covariance risk and misperceptions of firmsapos prospects, and in which arbitrageurs trade against mispricing. In equilibrium, expected returns are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918741
The basic paradigm of asset pricing is in vibrant flux. The purely rational approach is being subsumed by a broader approach based upon the psychology of investors. In this approach, security expected returns are determined by both risk and misvaluation. This survey sketches a framework for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918745
We examine how third party ratings and mandatory benchmark disclosure affect aggregate risk adjustment by retail investors. Morningstar changed its ratings methodology in June 2002. Before the change, the ratings were based on a risk-adjusted performance ranking of all US equity funds and highly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907676
Using trading data from Finland and the US, I empirically show that investors tend to buy riskier stocks following realized losses. The measure of risk that the investors seem to pay attention to is the market beta of a stock. This behavior of buying higher beta stocks after a realized loss is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899879
We develop a structural econometric model to elicit household-specific expectations about future financial asset returns and risk attitudes by using data on observed portfolio holdings and self-assessed willingness to bear financial risk. Our framework assumes that household portfolios are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027836
We present a general equilibrium model in which heterogeneous investors choose among bonds, stocks, and an Index Fund holding the market portfolio. We show that, under standard assumptions, an equilibrium exists. We then derive predictions for equilibrium asset prices, investor behavior, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255122
This paper analyzes how individuals value the two main payout options of retirement wealth accrued in a pension plan: a lifelong income stream offered via an annuity or as a lumpsum. A better knowledge of the drivers behind the financial valuation of pension options contributes to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350422
The paper analyzes the process of market selection of investment strategies in an incomplete market of short-lived assets. In the model under study, asset payoffs depend on exogenous random factors. Market participants use dynamic investment strategies taking account of the available information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005043690
The paper analyzes the process of market selection of investment strategies in an incomplete asset market. The payoffs of the as-sets depend on random factors described in terms of a discrete-time Markov process. Market participants make dynamic investment de-cisions based on their observations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005585627
This paper presents an application of evolutionary portfolio theory to stocks listed in the Swiss Market Index (SMI). We study numerically the long-run outcome of the competition of rebalancing rules for market shares in a stock market with actual dividends taken from firms listed in the SMI....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005627836