Showing 1 - 10 of 20,196
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011543903
captures the arbitrage-free dynamics of stock returns and nominal bond yields. The model nests the class of affine term … structure (of interest rates) models. Stock returns and bond yields as well as risk premia are affine functions of the state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316384
-based structure. Liquidity conditions for EFSF bonds in the secondary market are different from those of large sovereign bond issuers …, which affects bond pricing. This paper offers the first study of the term structure of EFSF bond yields and a decomposition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403171
Recent findings on the term structure of equity and bond yields pose serious challenges to existing models of … dynamics of equity and bond yields (and their yield spreads). The movements of equity and bond yields are driven mainly by … returns/yields and nominal bond returns/yields switched from positive to negative after the late 1990s, owing mainly to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013193433
, a time-varying coefficient model is introduced and applied to German bond data. The results support the theoretical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010127819
A small but ambitious literature uses affine arbitrage-free models to estimate jointly U.S. Treasury term premiums and the term structure of equity risk premiums. Within this approach, this paper identifies the parameter restrictions that are consistent with a simple dividend discount model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010222892
. Seemingly, markets have been demanding more stocks instead of bonds. Yet, instead of observing higher bond rates, paradoxically …, bond rates have been persistently negative after the Lehman-Brothers collapse. To explain this paradox, we suggest that, in …, this rise in perceived market fragility alone can explain the drop in both bond rates and price-dividend ratios observed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011760864
Equilibrium bond-pricing models rely on inflation being bad news for future growth to generate upward-sloping nominal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011864574
We build a novel macro-finance model that combines a semi-structural macroeconomic module with arbitrage-free yield-curve dynamics. We estimate it for the United States and the euro area using a Bayesian approach and jointly infer the real equilibrium interest rate (r*), trend inflation (π*),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705391
Incorporating arbitrage-free term-structure dynamics into a semi-structural macro-model, we jointly estimate the real equilibrium interest rate (r*), trend inflation, and term premia for the United States and the euro area, using a Bayesian approach. The natural real rate and trend inflation are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012425011