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exists, arbitrage opportunities must also exist. Conversely, at times when arbitrage profits exist, asset markets are … susceptible to self-fulfilling fluctuations. The tight theoretical connection between price volatility and arbitrage is detectable …
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We study a cross section of carry-trade-generated currency excess returns in terms of their exposure to global fundamental macroeconomic risk. The cross-country high-minuslow (HML) conditional skewness of the unemployment gap - our measure of global macroeconomic uncertainty - is a factor that...
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The use of futures exchange contracts instead of forwards completes the maturity spectrum of the correlation between the spot yield and the premium. We find that the forward premium puzzle (FFP) depends significantly on the maturity horizon of the futures contract and the choice of sampling...
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