We investigate the relation between contrarian flows, consumption growth and market risk premium. We construct a contrarian flows measure by summing up the capital flows to stocks that go against the total flow of the aggregate market. We show that the contrarian flows are negatively influenced...

In this paper we present empirical tests of an extended version of the Capital Asset Pricing Model that replaces the single period horizon with a probability distribution over different horizons. Adopting a simple parameterization of the probability distribution of the length of the horizon, we...

This paper proposes a linear option pricing model by imposing common market pricing on decentralized risk exposure estimates across option contracts underlying the same security. The model embeds historical moment estimators to anchor the breakeven contribution of each risk source. A...