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This paper compares various machine learning models to predict the cross-section of emerging market stock returns. We document that allowing for non-linearities and interactions leads to economically and statistically superior out-of-sample returns compared to traditional linear models. Although...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236025
The paper bridges a gap in the literature by using moment analysis, CAPM statistics, stochastic dominance (SD) test, and volume analysis to examine investor preferences for warrants between China and Taiwan, and investigating why the market for warrants in China has to close while the market for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011869273
We examine asset prices in a representative-agent model of general equilibrium. Assuming only that individuals are risk averse, we determine conditions on the changes in asset risk that are both necessary and sufficient for the asset price to fall. We show that these conditions neither imply,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398103
We consider time series models in which the conditional mean of the response variable given the past depends on latent covariates. We assume that the covariates can be estimated consistently and use an iterative nonparametric kernel smoothing procedure for estimating the conditional mean...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422182
Many models have been suggested to describe how investors manage risk and value risky cash flows. Among them, the most widely used is the Sharpe-Lintner-Black Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). However many anomalies and evidence against this version have been presented. To assume that the CAPM...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005434714
We estimate a non-parametrical Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and find strong evidence rejecting the classical linear CAPM. Furthermore, we find inconsistent linear betas for a series of stocks in the Colombian stock exchange (BVC), supporting the hypothesis of a better and consistent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010763661
Financial basics and intuition stresses the importance of investment horizon for risk management and asset allocation. However, the beta parameter of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is invariant to the holding period. Such contradiction is due to the assumption of long-term independence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010763678
Robust estimation techniques based on symmetric probability distributions are often substituted for OLS to obtain efficient regression parameters with thick-tail distributed data. The empirical, simulation and theoretical results in this paper show that with skewed distributed data, symmetric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010937085
We estimate non-parametrical one-factor and three-factor international Capital Asset Pricing Models (CAPM) and find strong evidence for rejecting the linear CAPM specification. Furthermore, we find inconsistent linear betas for a series of stocks in the Colombian stock exchange (BVC), supporting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011040285
In this study an alternative nonparametric estimator to the Fama and MacBeth approach for the CAPM estimation is proposed. Betas and risk premiums are estimated simultaneously in order to increase the explanatory power of the proxy for betas. A data driven method is proposed for selecting the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005187610