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In a New-Keynesian model subject to the zero lower bound (ZLB), constrained monetary policy endogenously results in time-varying equity risk premia and equity-bond market correlations. Liquidity traps at the ZLB are characterized by negatively skewed and increasingly uncertain consumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996475
This paper studies a modern monetary economy: trade in both goods and securities relies on money provided by intermediaries. While money is valued for its liquidity, its creation requires costly leverage. Inflation, security prices and the transmission of monetary policy then depend on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914919
I examine how the maturity structure of outstanding government liabilities affects the nominal yield curve under a variety of assumptions about investor objectives. In the class of models I consider, equilibria are arbitrage free, expectations are rational, and assets are valued only for their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034572
A press conference (PC) organized by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) followed half of the scheduled announcements from 2011 to 2018. We document a striking pattern in which stocks earn high excess returns on PC days that are strongly and positively related to their market betas and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850676
This paper highlights the different avenues through which stock liquidity can potentially transcend into accounting research. Recently, Lang and Maffett show that transparency reduces firm-level liquidity uncertainty, while Ng shows that increased information quality can reduce a firm's exposure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121565
Asset prices are a valuable source of information about financial market participants.expectations about key macroeconomic variables. However, the presence of time-varying risk premia requires an adjustment of market prices to obtain the market’s rational assessment of future price and policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622575
This paper shows that changes in the tone of central bank communication have a significant effect on asset prices. Tone captures how the central bank frames economic fundamentals and its monetary policy. When tone becomes more positive, stock prices increase, whereas credit spreads and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904171
Revisiting the two-factor valuation of financial futures contracts and their derivatives, we propose a new approach in which the covariance process between the underlying asset price and the money market interest rate is set endogenously according to investors' arbitrage operations. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899151
I study the dynamics of default-free bond yields and term premia using a novel equilibrium term structure model with a New-Keynesian core and imperfect information about productivity. The model generates term premia that are on average positive with sizable countercyclical variation that arises...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239105
We propose and test a new channel that links funding liquidity risk and interest rates in short-term funding markets. Borrowers with high liquidity risk are willing to pay a markup to lock in their funding, independent of risk premiums demanded by lenders. We test the channel using unique...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012050871