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Forecasting the stock returns in the emerging markets is challenging due to their peculiar characteristics. These markets exhibit linear as well as nonlinear features and Conventional forecasting methods partially succeed in dealing with the nonlinear nature of stock returns. Contrarily,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175006
We investigate the risk-return trade-off on the US and European stock markets. We investigate the non-linear risk-return trade-off with a special eye to the tails of the stock returns using quantile regressions. We first consider the US stock market portfolio. We find that the risk-return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012587977
consistent with an asset pricing model allowing for both time-varying jump intensity and stochastic volatility of volatility to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904660
In this paper, we confirm cross-sectional reversals in intraday returns in China's A-share market. Intraday reversals are shown to be robust with respect to seasonality, alternative samples, and the daily price-limit rule. To investigate the potential drivers, trade volumes and order imbalances...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014308779
market, size, value, momentum, investment, profitability, and volatility. The value-added induced by factor management via ….g. factor volatility or factor valuation. For the majority of factors, our strategies appear successful especially in recessions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012588643
The use of fundamentalist traders in the stock market models is problematic since fundamental values in the real world are unknown. Yet, in the literature to date, fundamentalists are often required to replicate key stylized facts. The authors present an agent-based model of the stock market in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011723700
of 7 assets (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF and USD/JPY exchange rates and Light Crude Oil, E-Mini S&P 500 and VIX Futures … assets except for the VIX) ending in the second half of 2015. The proposed trading system entered long and short trades in …-Estimator whose inputs (period used for local volatility calculation and confidence level used for jump detection) were also optimized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964934
frequency can be obtained almost as precisely as if volatility is observable by simply incorporating the strong information … content of realized volatility measures extracted from high-frequency data. For this purpose, we introduce asymptotically … exact volatility measurement equations in state space form and propose a Bayesian estimation approach. Our highly efficient …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128339
In a model where investors disagree about the fundamentals of two stocks, the state price density depends on investor disagreements for both stocks, especially the larger stock. This implies that disagreement among investors in a large firm has a spillover effect on the pricing of other stocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972769
volatility. This empirical phenomenon is shown to arise within a tractable accounting-based valuation model that allows for risk … aversion and stochastic earnings volatility. The model predicts that expected stock (stock return volatility) returns are … to explain price dynamics across stock and volatility markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855869