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12 years of high-frequency data from U.S. and German sovereign bond markets. We detect realized volatility and realized …We examine time-varying explanatory power of realized moments on subsequent bond futures excess returns using more than … traditional bond return predictors such as term or default spreads. Most importantly, we reveal the bond excess return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181035
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013455827
. Seemingly, markets have been demanding more stocks instead of bonds. Yet, instead of observing higher bond rates, paradoxically …, bond rates have been persistently negative after the Lehman-Brothers collapse. To explain this paradox, we suggest that, in …, this rise in perceived market fragility alone can explain the drop in both bond rates and price-dividend ratios observed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011760864
-based structure. Liquidity conditions for EFSF bonds in the secondary market are different from those of large sovereign bond issuers …, which affects bond pricing. This paper offers the first study of the term structure of EFSF bond yields and a decomposition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403171
be compensated, if markets are efficient. We call this the "bond agio premium" and use constituent-level bond index data … for January 1997 through December 2022 to show that - holding issuer and maturity fixed - it is reflected by bond prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512365
the variance of idiosyncratic returns. The estimation is performed on a time series of returns and option prices from 2006 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410917
underlying stock (asset) is subject to discontinuous market regime type of shifts in its mean or volatility whose risk can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130931
This paper studies the historical time-varying dynamics of risk for individual stocks in the U.S. market. Total risk of an individual stock is decomposed into two components, systematic risk and idiosyncratic risk, and both components are studied separately. We start from the historical trend in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628441
multiple observable-factor and market prices of risk specifications, and considers alternative samples for parameter estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010222892
captures the arbitrage-free dynamics of stock returns and nominal bond yields. The model nests the class of affine term … structure (of interest rates) models. Stock returns and bond yields as well as risk premia are affine functions of the state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316384