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Nguyen, Duc Binh Benno; Prokopczuk, Marcel; Wese Simen, … - 2017

We examine the pricing of tail risk in international stock markets. We find that the tail risk of different countries is highly integrated. Introducing a new World Fear index, we find that local and global aggregate market returns are mainly driven by global tail risk rather than local tail...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011751251

Idiosyncratic risk puzzle and its pricing : do firm characteristics matter? Evidence of BRICS countries

Kausar, Saba; Rashid, Abdul; Shah, Zulfiqar Ali - In: Borsa Istanbul Review 23 (2023) 1, pp. 149-168

This paper examines the relationship between idiosyncratic risk and stock returns in BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) countries by applying parametric and nonparametric approaches. It also explores the idiosyncratic risk puzzle by dividing firms into groups based on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014307488

Why does return predictability concentrate in bad times?

Cujean, Julien; Hasler, Michael - 2017

We build an equilibrium model to explain why stock return predictability concentrates in bad times. The key feature is that investors use different forecasting models, and hence assess uncertainty differently. As economic conditions deteriorate, uncertainty rises and investors' opinions...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011721618

How Much Stock Return Predictability Can We Expect From an Asset Pricing Model?

Zhou, Guofu - 2010

Stock market predictability is of considerable interest in both academic research and investment practice. Ross (2005) provides a simple and elegant upper bound on the predictive regression R-squared that R^2 = (1 R_f)^2 Var(m) for a given asset pricing model with kernel m, where R_f is the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150862

Predictability and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns : Evidence from the European Stock Market

Drobetz, Wolfgang - 2020

all firms contained in the STOXX Europe 600 index during the September 1999-December 2018 period. Our estimation approach …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848244

Book-to-market decomposition, net share issuance, and the cross section of global stock returns

Blackburn, Douglas W.; Cakici, Nusret - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 12 (2019) 2/90, pp. 1-29

This paper provides global evidence supporting the hypothesis that expected return models are enhanced by the inclusion of variables that describe the evolution of book-to-market-changes in book value, changes in price, and net share issues. This conclusion is supported using data representing...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022063

Return and Dividend Expectations in the Cross-Section of Prices

Douglas, Reed - 2022

I build a price-ratio model based on the Campbell and Shiller (1988) decomposition to test which components of investor expectations best explains cross-sectional price differences. I evaluate the in- and out-of-sample performance of my model, which uses a higher-order expansion with an added...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236440

Time-varying risk and the relation between idiosyncratic risk and stock return

Fu, Chengbo - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 14 (2021) 9, pp. 1-16

This paper studies the historical time-varying dynamics of risk for individual stocks in the U.S. market. Total risk of an individual stock is decomposed into two components, systematic risk and idiosyncratic risk, and both components are studied separately. We start from the historical trend in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628441

Does Beta Explain Global Equity Market Volatility - Some Empirical Evidence

Kurach, Radosław - 2013

country betas are time-varying and that currently, global factors are the dominant source of equity market volatility …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079478

Estimating the volatility of asset pricing factors

Becker, Janis; Leschinski, Christian - 2018 - This version: May 20, 2018

allocation and risk management require estimates of the volatility of these factors. While realized volatility has become a … provide a statistical approach to estimate the volatility of these factors. The efficacy of this approach relative to the use … of models based on squared returns is demonstrated for forecasts of the market volatility and a portfolio allocation …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011860248