Using survey forecasts, we find that systematic errors in expectations of long-term inflation and short-term nominal earnings growth are the main driver of prices and return puzzles for bonds and stocks. We demonstrate this by deriving and testing a single necessary and sufficient condition...

The Fama and French (2015) 5-factor model is commonly used to measure the performance of stock return portfolios. Importantly, we find that three of the Fama and French (2015) firm-level characteristics (i.e., size, BV/MV, and profitability) have no significant explanatory power in the...

We study the relationship between the Fama and French (2015) five factors’ betas and the expected overnight versus intraday stock returns in China’s A-share markets. We find that factor betas and expected returns exhibit contrasting relationships overnight versus intraday. The market, value,...

Much attention is paid to portfolio variance, but skewness is also important for both portfolio design and asset pricing. We revisit the empirical research on systematic skewness that we initiated 25 years ago. In an out-of-sample test, we find that the risk premium associated with skewness is...

We propose a novel procedure to identify the marginal stock market investor's beliefs from observed asset prices. Our approach recovers price-consistent beliefs, i.e. the distribution of macro and financial variables that satisfy the conditional Euler equations, given a cross-section of assets,...

We propose a novel information-theoretic approach to separately identify the risk preferences and beliefs of different types of financial market investors. Investors who allocate most of their wealth in large market capitalization stocks are risk averse and believe that the aggregate stock...

Contrary to the financial distress premium notion, the stocks of financially distressed firms comove least. Financially distressed firms are characterized by high valuation uncertainty and information and arbitrage frictions. Therefore, their stocks are prone to mispricing and their stock price...

The stocks of firms with poor accounting information quality (AIQ) comove least, as gauged by the correlation between returns on two stocks. Only undiversifiable risk is rewarded with a premium and the undiversifiable risk of a diversified stock portfolio increases with correlations between the...

We examine the short-duration premium using pre-scheduled economic, monetary policy, and earnings announcements. We provide high-frequency evidence that duration premia associated with revisions of economic growth and interest rate expectations are consistent with asset pricing models but cannot...

We test and compare the effects of introduction of two new financial information technologies, EDGAR and XBRL, on well-known asset pricing anomalies often attributed to mispricing. EDGAR facilitates easier access to public accounting information about public firms; XBRL reduces the cost of...