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This study examines the relation between equity returns and fundamental variables by utilizing multifactor asset pricing models. Specifically, it incorporates several variables from prior empirical research to examine the impact of systematic risk on equity returns in the financial sector. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071373
Using the Baker, Bloom, and Davis (2013) news-based measure to capture economic policy uncertainty (EPU) in the United States, we find that EPU positively forecasts log excess market returns. A one-standard deviation increase in EPU is associated with a 1.5% increase in forecasted 3-month...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036850
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We show that global political uncertainty, measured by the U.S. election cycle, on average, leads to a fall in equity returns in fifty non-U.S. countries. At the same time, market volatilities rise, local currencies depreciate, and sovereign bond returns increase. The effect of global political...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856549
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We develop a parsimonious liquidity-adjusted downside capital asset pricing model to investigate if phenomena such as downward liquidity spirals and flights to liquidity impact expected asset returns. We find strong empirical support for the model. Downside liquidity risk (sensitivity of stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036136
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