Recent studies show that loss probability (LP) is a decisive factor when people evaluate risk of assets in laboratory experiments, suggesting a positive relationship between LP and expected stock returns. This corresponds to the classical "Safety-First" principle. We find empirical support for...

Using information in US and European bank and sovereign CDS spreads we study the systematic component of banks' credit risk that stems from banks' common exposure to sovereign default risk. Based on a default intensity model, we find that sovereign default risk is a significant factor of bank...