This paper discusses four potential sources of lag dynamics in inflation: non-rational behavior, staggered contracting …, frictions on price adjustment, and shifts in the long-run inflation anchor of agent expectations (the perceived inflation target …). Expressions for inflation dynamics from structural models which admit these different sources of lag dynamics are contrasted …

This paper empirically compares sticky-price and sticky-information Phillips curves considering inflation dynamics in … moments of inflation. Under baseline calibrations, the two models perform similarly in almost all countries. Under estimated … unconditional moments of inflation dynamics better while sticky information is more successful in matching co-movement of inflation …

’ inflation expectations to their own lagged forecasts as well as proxies for the rational expectation forecasts. The model builds … in inflation expectations extensively documented in the literature. We estimate the model using data from two important … Survey of Consumer Expectations. We find that inflation expectations appear to correlate more strongly to measures of …

We model inflation forecasts as monotonically diverging from an estimated long-run anchor point towards actual … inflation as the forecast horizon shortens. Fitting the model with forecaster-level data for Canada and the US, we identify … three key differences between the two countries. First, the average estimated anchor of US inflation forecasts has tended to …

Phillips curves are central to discussions of inflation dynamics and monetary policy. New Keynesian Phillips curves … describe how past inflation, expected future inflation, and a measure of real marginal cost or an output gap drive the current … inflation rate. This paper studies the (potential) weak identification of these curves under GMM and traces this syndrome to a …

This study examines the impact of productivity growth on the relationship between inflation and unemployment in Canada …

This paper re-examines the findings of Alogoskoufis and Smith (1991), who argue that sharp increases in inflation … United States, Canada and Sweden, we suggest that these authors' emphasis on a post-1967 shift in inflation persistence is … misplaced and that there are other equally good candidates to account for changes in inflation persistence such as wars, oil …