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Financial distress has a dual effect on stock pricing: it affects both investors’ expected return and stock pricing efficiency. Therefore, the estimated relation between it and realized return captures both the relation between it and expected return and the relation between it and the...
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The stocks of firms with poor accounting information quality (AIQ) comove least, as gauged by the correlation between returns on two stocks. Only undiversifiable risk is rewarded with a premium and the undiversifiable risk of a diversified stock portfolio increases with correlations between the...
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We use the Campbell (1991) return decomposition framework to reexamine the variation in the information content of earnings between profit firms and loss firms and over time. We show that current earnings surprises are more strongly correlated with the discount rate news component of returns for...
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Economic and reporting development factors affect the timing and non-timing roles of accruals, which in turn affect the correlation between accruals and operating cash flows (CFO). We show that the strength of the accrual anomaly varies predictably with the economic determinants of the...
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Using monthly data from 01/1985 to 12/2012, we find that the accounting valuation-based predictor introduced in Lee, Myers, and Swaminathan (1999) has excellent in-sample and out-of-sample predictive performance. Our finding suggests that the accounting valuation-based predictor does not suffer...
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Because stock price generally deviates from the intrinsic value, stock price is a noisy indicator of the intrinsic value. As an expected return proxy, the implied cost of capital (ICC)—the internal rate of return that equates the noisy stock price to discounted expected future dividends—thus...
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