The paper highlights the encountered problems in implementing real options under more realistic assumptions such as business cycle risk and normally distributed cash flows. The problems considered include (i) estimating empirical distribution of cash flows from real option investments; (ii)...

Volumes of oil reserves are important indicators of energy availability in the future since it is still the world’s main source of energy. In this paper, we estimate the oil reserve volume under oil price uncertainty using the traditional discounted cash flow (DCF) and the real options theory...