This paper analyses the influence of 13 stylized facts of the German economy on the West German business cycles from 1955 to 1994. The method used in this investigation is Statistical Experimental Design with orthogonal factors. We are looking for all existing Plackett-Burman designs realizable...

Today, most of the data in business applications is stored in relational databases. Relational database systems are so popular, because they offer solutions to many problems around data storage, such as efficiency, effectiveness, usability, security and multi-user support. To benefit from these...

The optimization of the hyper-parameters of a statistical procedure or machine learning task is a crucial step for obtaining a minimal error. Unfortunately, the optimization of hyper-parameters usually requires many runs of the procedure and hence is very costly. A more detailed knowledge of the...

The optimization of the hyper-parameters of a statistical procedure or machine learning task is a crucial step for obtaining a minimal error. Unfortunately, the optimization of hyper-parameters usually requires many runs of the procedure and hence is very costly. A more detailed knowledge of the...

In this paper business cycles are considered as a multivariate phenomenon and not as a univariate one determined e.g. by the GNP. The subject is to look for the number of phases of a business cycle, which can be motivated by the number of clusters in a given dataset of macro-economic variables....

When analyzing business cycle data, one observes that the relevant predictor variables are often highly correlated. This paper presents a method to obtain measures of importance for the classification of data in which such multicollinearity is present. In systems with highly correlated variables...

Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA) performs well for classifica- tion of business phases – even though the premises of an LDA are not met. As the variables are highly correlated there are numerical as well as interpretational shortcomings. By transforming the classification problem to a...