When solving a newsvendor problem, individuals systematically and persistently deviate from the profit maximizing order quantity. Previous research has shown that individuals tend to order too much in a low margin setting and too little in a high margin setting. This “pull to center” effect...

This research analyzes how individual differences affect performance in time-series forecasting. Task performance varies based on an individual’s ability to balance intuitive judgment with cognitive deliberation, as measured by the Cognitive Reflection Test. Decision makers with higher...