Showing 1 - 10 of 16,959
The present paper tests for the existence of multicointegration between real per capita private consumption expenditure … income and consumption expenditure on the one hand, and the stock of consumers' wealth, which can be considered as cumulative … multicointegrating relations and find supporting evidence for the existence of multicointegration in US consumption data. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011439261
With the aid of econometric modeling, I investigate whether rapidly increasing house prices necessarily imply the existence of a bubble that will eventually burst. I consider four alternative econometric methods to construct indicators of housing market imbalances for the US, Finland and Norway....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982595
This paper elucidates the influence of stock market volatility on U.S. consumption using pooled mean group (PMG … market volatility on consumption are robust to the lag order, lag selection criteria, and outliers compared with the mean … group (MG) and the dynamic fixed effect (DFE) methods. I find that stock market volatility reduces total consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661246
the period 1980q1-2011q4. That is, income is more often found to predict consumption and saving than the converse. Our … consumption and by exploring the direction of Granger causality between the two series. We also give evidence that house price … changes played a role in the US income and consumption dynamics, before, during and after the Great Recession. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010518800
The present paper tests for the existence of multicointegration between real per capita private consumption expenditure … income and consumption expenditure on the one hand, and the stock of consumers? wealth, which can be considered as cumulative … multicointegrating relations and find supporting evidence for the existence of multicointegration in US consumption data. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260704
the period 1980q1-2011q4. That is, income is more often found to predict consumption and saving than the converse. Our … consumption and by exploring the direction of Granger causality between the two series. We also give evidence that house price … changes played a role in the US income and consumption dynamics, before, during and after the Great Recession. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010530531
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013436468
Using the standard linear model as a base, a unified theory of Bayesian Analysis of Cointegration Models is constructed … cointegration model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014069432
marginal utility of consumption of nondurable goods and services to the marginal utility of consumption of services from … long-run relationship between components of private consumption and public expenditure is then postulated. The application … of cointegration analysis to U.K. data supports the existence and uniqueness of such a long-run relationship, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014073816
A flexible statistical approach for the analysis of time-varying dynamics of transaction data on financial markets is here applied to intra-day trading strategies. A local adaptive technique is used to successfully predict financial time series, i.e., the buyer and the seller-initiated trading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010374563