In this paper we develop an analysis of multivariate time series that exhibit reduced rank cointegration, implying that a lower dimensional linear projection of the process can be obtained in which the projected process becomes stationary. Detection of the rank and basis upon which to project...

We consider multivariate time series that exhibit reduced rank cointegration, which means a lower dimensional linear projection of the process becomes stationary. We will review recent suitable Markov Chain Monte Carlo approaches for Bayesian inference such as the Gibbs sampler and the Geodesic...

Hog, corn, and soybean meal futures are shown to be cointegrated, reflecting the close intrinsic relationship of corn and soybean meal as the primary feed for hogs. Applying a recent technique to date-stamp pricing bubbles we further show that bubbles in feed do not appear to be associated with...

Abstract In crush spread commodity trading strategies it is a common practice to select portfolio positions not based on statistical properties, but instead based on physical refinery conditions and efficiency in extracting byproducts from crushing raw soybeans to get soymeal and soyoil. The...