In this paper, we examine the EU Emissions Trading Scheme options and futures markets' dynamics during the period 2005 to 2011. We study observations on returns, volatilities and volumes on derivative instruments. In addition, we examine spot/future correlations, term structures and option...

Nelson-Siegel factors extracted from the term structure of WTI oil futures predict subsequent WTI holding period returns both in-sample and out-of-sample. This predictability is not diminished by augmenting with macroeconomic indicators or oil market specific predictors. The term structure based...

On the 30th anniversary of the seminal article by Pindyck (1993), we re-evaluate the evidence for the classical rational model of commodity prices, extending it to admit time- varying discount rates, investors’ heterogeneity or both. Discount factors specifications are flexible enough to allow...