This paper provides novel evidence on commodity market exposure, i.e., the impacts of commodity price and terms of trade fluctuations on macro performance amongst 46 emerging and developing countries (EMDCs) in Africa, Asia and the Latin American and Caribbean (LAC) region. We estimate 10 the...

We investigate the connections between some specific commodity prices and global macroeconomic performance in a two-stage approach. At the first stage we employ machine learning techniques to identify from a large set of globally traded commodities the ones with the strongest predictive power on...