We use macro finance models to study the interaction between macro variables and the Brazilian sovereign yield curve using daily data. We calculate the model implied default probabilities and a measure of the impact of macro shocks on the probabilities. An extension of the Dai-Singleton...

We analyze trading opportunities that arise from differences between the bond and the CDS market. By simultaneously entering a position in a CDS contract and the underlying bond, traders can build a default-risk free position that allows them to repeatedly earn the difference between the bond...

Modelling portfolio credit risk is one of the crucial challenges faced by financial services industry in the last few years. We propose the valuation model of collateralized debt obligations (CDO) based on copula functions with up to three parameters, with default intensities estimated from...

This paper combines a term structure model of credit default swaps (CDS) with weak-identification robust methods to jointly estimate the probability of default and the loss given default of the underlying firm. The model is not globally identified because it forgoes parametric time series...

This study combines the empirical estimation of a Double-Exponential Jump-Diffusion (DEJD) process for a CDS index and the use of estimated parameters to price options on the index. In the first step we find Maximum Likelihood estimates for the diffusion volatility, the Poisson jump frequencies,...

We study the co-movement of credit and equity markets in four Asia-Pacific countries at firmand index level. First, we establish realized volatility as an important determinant of CDS spreadlevels and changes. Second, we examine lead-lag relationships between CDS spreads, volatility and stock...

The purpose of the paper is twofold. First, it aims at identifying when UK and European (France, Germany, Italy and Spain) Credit Default Swaps(CDSs) exhibit explosivity with respect to their past behaviors. Second, it seeks to quantify the dynamics of CDS volatility spillover effects...

This paper provides new evidence on the dynamic dependences of European corporate credit spread in three markets: Bond, Credit Default Swap (CDS), and Asset Swap (ASP). Using daily data from 2005 to 2009, we find that credit spread returns are primarily driven by innovations. The intra-market...

This paper analyses the role of liquidity in the price discovery process. Specifically, it focuses on the credit derivatives markets in the context of the subprime crisis. It presents a theoretical price discovery model for the ASP, bond and CDS markets and then it tests the model with data from...

We examine time-varying behavior and determinants of asset swap (ASW) spreads for 23 iBoxx European corporate bond indexes stratified by industry, credit rating and seniority. The results of a Markov switching model suggest that ASW spreads exhibit regime dependent behavior. The evidence is...