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This paper analyses the pricing of systematic risk factors in credit default swap contracts in a two-stage empirical framework. In the first pass, we estimate contract-specific sensitivities to several systematic risk factors by time-series regressions using quoted credit default swap (CDS)...
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One of the most significant developments in international credit markets in recent years has been the trade in Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDO), which has enabled financial institutions to repackage the credit risk of an asset portfolio into tranches to be transferred to investors. The...
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This paper introduces a simple, nonparametric way of inferring risk-neutral credit stress event intensities for idiosyncratic, sectoral, and global shocks contained in market credit spreads. We provide an econometric analysis of the implied latent stress event dynamics. A vector autoregressive...
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Correlations are the main drivers for credit portfolio risk and constitute a Major element in pricing credit derivatives such as synthetic single-tranche collateralized debt obligation swaps. This paper suggests a dynamic panel regression Approach to model and forecast implied correlations....
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