Firm cyclicality decreases by around 40% after the inception of credit default swap (CDS) trading. The effect is due to CDS firms’ lower asset growth-GDP growth sensitivity in good times and stronger for firms facing a more severe exacting creditor problem. The cyclicality-reducing effect of...

We measure speculation in the CDS market and investigate its determinants. The CDS volume on a firm that exceeds its outstanding debt (= naked CDS) indicates speculation since hedging can be ruled out. Using weekly CDS trading volume data for actively traded U.S. firms during 2008-2012, we...