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This paper sets the background for the Special Issue of the Journal of Empirical Finance on the European Sovereign Debt Crisis. It identifies the channel through which risks in the financial industry leaked into the public sector. It discusses the role of the bank rescues in igniting the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011588156
This paper investigates Germany's vulnerability to the ongoing Euroland crisis. In 2010-11, Germany experienced a strong rebound from the global financial crisis of 2008-09. The Euroland crisis then meant record low interest rates and a depressed euro that boosted German extra-area exports. But...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009757118
banks to public accounts as a consequence of implicit or explicit bailout guarantees to distressed banking systems. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010459090
This paper proposes a quantitative theory of the interaction between private and public debt in an open economy. Excessive private debt increases the frequency of financial crises. During such crises the government provides fiscal bailouts financed with risky public debt. This response may cause...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013194400
systemic risk, including models for the three main channels of contagion: counterparty loss, overlapping portfolios and funding … channels of contagion, models with learning and limited deductive reasoning that can survive the Lucas critique, and practical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011906282
financial system to minimize potential contagion losses. Building on ideas from combinatorial optimization tailored to … controlling contagion in case of complete information about an interbank network, we augment the model with three plausible types … contagion losses and the policy authority's ability to control them depend on the assumed fire sale mechanism and the fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012519357
the interbank market. Using a simple network structure, it shows that if there is a non-zero bailout probability, banks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226037
debt crisis, elections in European countries have stronger contagion effects in their own region during a global slowdown …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781196
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011565485
We outline a procedure for consistent estimation of marginal and joint default risk in the euro area financial system. We interpret the latter risk as the intrinsic financial system fragility and derive several systemic fragility indicators for euro area banks and sovereigns, based on CDS...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010419854