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Based on a reduced-form model of credit risk, we explore mispricing in the CDS spreads of North American companies and its economic content. Specifically, we develop a trading strategy using the model to trade out of sample market-neutral portfolios across the term structure of CDS contracts....
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There exists strong commonality in credit risk across sovereigns [Pan and Singleton (2008); Longstaff, Pan, Pedersen and Singleton (2011)]. This paper embeds this commonality into a rating-based, reduced-form model. A parsimonious version of the rating-based model can adequately capture the...
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