In a Black-Scholes-Merton model of single name default, instability could be seen as the level of volatility that would trigger default, everything else equal. At a portfolio level, for instance comprising all credit liabilities of the corporate sector, potential for instability could be...

In a Black-Scholes-Merton model of single name default, instability could be seen as the level of volatility that would trigger default, everything else equal. At a portfolio level, for instance comprising all credit liabilities of the corporate sector, potential for instability could be...

We develop distress prediction models for non-financial small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs) using a dataset from eight European countries over the period 2000-2009. We examine idiosyncratic and systematic covariates and find that macro conditions and bankruptcy codes add predictive power...

Long-term development finance provided by Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs) is key to advancing the United Nations 2015 Sustainable Development Goals. However, MDBs are constrained in their lending by the availability of capital. This paper argues that Risk Transfer, as a complement to...

Emerging markets have long been viewed as high-risk destinations for investment, particularly investments in companies. Although macroeconomic and political stability risks are higher, this perception also reflects project-level risks, or uncertainty about repayment prospects. Investors, with...