This paper develops a model for the pricing of credit derivatives using observables. The model (i) is arbitrage-free, (ii) accommodates path-dependence, and (iii) handles a range of securities, even with American features. The computer implementation uses a recursive scheme that is convenient...

We model a loop between sovereign and bank credit risk. A distressed financial sector induces government bailouts, whose cost leads to increased sovereign credit risk. Increased sovereign credit risk in turn weakens the financial sector by eroding the value of its government debt guarantees and...