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I experimentally examine whether feedback about others' choices provides an anchor for decision-making under ambiguity … relative ambiguity attitude (compared to the peer's) significantly matters for shifts in individual attitudes, and that … dynamics considerably differ between gain and loss domains. For gains, learning to be comparably ambiguity averse increases the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010364762
Before choosing her action to match the state of the world, an agent observes a stream of messages generated by some unknown binary signal. The agent can either learn the underlying signal for free and update her belief accordingly or ignore the observed message and keep her prior belief. After...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014511689
ambiguity aversion. This characterization extends to regret-based models as well. As an application of our general result, we … characterize dynamically consistent updating for two important models of ambiguity averse preferences: the ambiguity averse smooth … ambiguity preferences (Klibanoþ, Marinacci and Mukerji [Econometrica 73 2005, pp. 1849-1892]) and the variational preferences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266275
We propose a class of multiple-prior representations of preferences under ambiguity where the belief the decision … Optimism. The model does not restrict the sign of the DM's ambiguity attitude, and we show that it provides a unified framework … through which to characterize different degrees of ambiguity aversion, as well as to represent context-dependent negative and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012064758
, with the game ranging from a zero-sum one to a coordination game. Meanwhile, the predictions by ambiguity aversion models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011281640
We provide an axiomatic approach to a belief formation process in an informational environment characterized by limited, heterogenous and differently precise information. For a list of previously observed cases an agent needs to express her belief by assigning probabilities to possible outcomes....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010356678
We study the effect of ambiguity on timing decisions. An agent faces a stopping problem with an uncertain stopping …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014364260
required is a fundamentally different class of models that allow for the progressive anticipated changes in knowledge ahead … faced under risk and uncertainty, namely models under the umbrella of SKAT, the Stages of Knowledge Ahead Theory. A sequel … Knowledge Ahead Theory ; prominent numbers ; prominent indices ; prominent ratios ; equality ; historical benchmarks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003867222
We axiomatize a new class of recursive dynamic models that capture subjective constraints on the amount of information a decision maker can obtain, pay attention to, or absorb, via a Markov Decision Process for Information Choice (MIC). An MIC is a subjective decision process that specifies what...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011524248
This paper analyzes 12,596 wagering decisions of 6,064 contestants in the US game show Jeopardy!, focusing on the anchoring phenomenon in financial decision-making. We find that contestants anchor heavily on the initial dollar value of a clue in their wagering decision, even though there exists...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011526727