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Although much of the theoretical literature on ambiguity works under the assumption of uncertainty aversion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012266826
control theory to the so-called multiplier and constraint preferences that have been used to express ambiguity aversion …. Detection error probabilities can be used to discipline empirically plausible amounts of robustness. We describe applications to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025622
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014454544
be interpreted as a cost of robustness. They show that the robustness analysis can lead to a reversal of policy …-probabilistic approach available in the literature. They also consider conceptual proxies for robustness and demonstrate their use in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544781
of robustness and that the robustness analysis can lead to a reversal of policy preference from the putative optimum …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011279652
This paper proposes a decision-theoretic framework for experiment design. We model experimenters as ambiguity …-averse decision-makers, who make trade-offs between subjective expected performance and robustness. This framework accounts for … sample size is large enough or robustness is an important concern. We illustrate the practical value of such a framework by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011735910
depart from the sure thing principle and model the phenomenon of ambiguity and ambiguity aversion. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025442
Probabilistic risk beliefs are key drivers of economic and health decisions, but people are not always certain about their beliefs. We study these "imprecise probabilities", also known as ambiguous beliefs. We show that imprecision is measurable separately from the levels of risk beliefs. People...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014390526
We study the effect of ambiguity on timing decisions. An agent faces a stopping problem with an uncertain stopping …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014364260
We provide an axiomatic approach to a belief formation process in an informational environment characterized by limited, heterogenous and differently precise information. For a list of previously observed cases an agent needs to express her belief by assigning probabilities to possible outcomes....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010356678