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Ever since the emergence of economics as a distinct scientific discipline, policy makers have turned to economic models to guide policy interventions. If policy makers seek to enhance growth of an open capitalist economy, they have to take into account, firstly, the uncertainties,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422415
Ever since the emergence of economics as a distinct scientific discipline, policy makers have turned to economic models to guide policy interventions. If policy makers seek to enhance growth of an open capitalist economy, they have to take into account, firstly, the uncertainties,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011281255
forecasts and actions will exhibit idiosyncratic random variation; that average beliefs will also differ from rational-expectations … reported expectations in laboratory and field settings, notably the evidence of over-reaction in elicited forecasts documented …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012316965
Many papers have reported behavioral biases in belief formation that come on top of standard game-theoretic reasoning. We show that the processes involved depend on the way participants reason about their beliefs. When they think about what everybody else or another "unspeci fied" individual is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012308290
Belief elicitation is important in many different felds of economic research. We show that how a researcher elicits such beliefs-in particular, whether the belief is about the participant's opponent, an unrelated other, or the population of others-affects the processes involved in the formation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013341662
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This paper presents a new attempt to explore people's cooperative behavior under the natural uncertainty in decision making process. The most recent development of quantum cognition creatively enriched the exploration to the endogenous uncertainty in human behavior by expanding the strategic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026641
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