This book is an extensive survey and critical examination of the literature on the use of expert opinion in scientific inquiry and policy making. The elicitation, representation, and use of expert opinion is increasingly important for two reasons: advancing technology leads to more and more...

Chapter 1. Introduction and Overview of Structured Expert Judgement -- Chapter 2. Recent advances in the elicitation of uncertainty distributions from experts for multinomial probabilities -- Chapter 3. Are Performance Weights Beneficial? Investigating the Random Expert Hypothesis -- Chapter 4....