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This paper extends real options theory to consider the situation where the mean appreciation rate of the value of an irreversible investment project is not observable and governed by an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Our main purpose is to analyze the impact of the uncertainty of the mean...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013147390
uncertainty in the investment or a hedging asset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975616
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478603
Sequential investment opportunities or the presence of a rival typically hasten investment under risk neutrality. By contrast, greater price uncertainty or risk aversion increase the incentive to postpone investment in the absence of competition. We analyse how price and technological...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012932871
We propose a model of hedging and investment with ambiguity aversion in an incomplete financial market. We show that … hypothesis: an ambiguity averse agent chooses higher volatility when hedging a derivative position whose payoff function is … convex than when hedging a position whose payoff function is concave. Our model can be extended to accommodate non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103139
This paper studies the conjecture that investors prefer derivative markets over the equity market when hedging risks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846419
We apply utility indifference pricing to solve a contingent claim problem, valuing a connected pair of gas fields where the underlying process is not standard Geometric Brownian motion and the assumption of complete markets is not fulfilled. First, empirical data are often characterized by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010465169
In this paper we offer an alternative framework for examining why risk matters in the decisions of economic agents, and how the agent’s risk attitude affects his decisions. This “Threshold Theory” framework is based on a real options approach and the observation that in many situations an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011900005
We study business uncertainty in high- versus low-volatility environments by surveying over 31,000 managers across 41 countries. We elicit subjective probability distributions for future own-firm sales and measure firm-level uncertainty with their mean absolute deviations. Analogously, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015071152
We present a model in which investors observe the same macroeconomic data but have varying levels of information about the parameters that determine the distribution of the expected returns on investment. During a crisis that increases macroeconomic uncertainty and reduces asset prices, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003905028