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We provide an evolutionary foundation to evidence that in some situations humans maintain optimistic or pessimistic attitudes towards uncertainty and are ignorant to relevant aspects of the environment. Players in strategic games face Knightian uncertainty about opponents' actions and maximize...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010366542
We provide an evolutionary foundation to evidence that in some situations humans maintain either optimistic or pessimistic attitudes towards uncertainty and are ignorant to relevant aspects of the environment. Players in strategic games face Knightian uncertainty about opponents' actions and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012101422
We test for skewness preferences in a large set of observational panel data on online poker games (n=4,450,585). Each observation refers to a choice between a safe option and a binary risk of winning or losing the game. Our setting offers a real-world choice situation with substantial incentives...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486803
by a draw from an Ellsberg urn. In a within-subject experiment, subjects make decisions in three different bargaining …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014380287
processes we do not find that those subjects showing ambiguity aversion in an urn experiment based on Halevy (2007 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010188142
. We check our theoretical predictions through a 10-task laboratory experiment. In (unambiguous) tasks 1-5, we elicit risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014165098
processes we do not find that those subjects showing ambiguity aversion in an urn experiment based on Halevy (2007 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073252
words of Ed Thorp, who gave us helpful feedback on our research: ‘This is a great experiment for many reasons. It ought to … become part of the basic education of anyone interested in finance or gambling.' …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012980760
Quantum decision theory (QDT) is a recently developed theory of decision making based on the mathematics of Hilbert spaces, a framework known in physics for its application to quantum mechanics. This framework formalizes the concept of uncertainty and other effects that are particularly manifest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011514496
experiment and for predictions (second iteration). The QDT effect associated with the attraction factor is mostly appreciable for … prospects with big losses. Our quantitative analysis of the experiment results supports the existence of an intrinsic limit of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011516615