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Eight centuries ago, Thomas Aquinas clearly differentiated between probability and uncertainty in decision making. He viewed probability eclectically as having elements that involved propositions about events, frequency of events, and single events. He found an important role in his approach for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014115385
Smith was the first economist and/or philosopher to understand how uncertainty; (a) was different from risk calculations based on fair/unfair lotteries where there was a large amount of evidence; (b) would have to be represented mathematically by intervals; (c) that uncertainty came in degrees or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014143394
Economists, working in the Heterodox schools of economics, have severely confused Keynes's interval valued probability–weight of the evidence approach to decision making from the A Treatise on Probability, that Keynes integrated into the General Theory by way of his definition of uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950042
Sraffa made a number of margin notes in chapter 17 in his copy of the General Theory .Contrary to Joan Robinson’s 1978 claim ,that Sraffa had uncovered logical and mathematical errors in Keynes’s liquidity preference theory of the rate of interest when he generalized his theory in chapter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239107