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The magnitude of error due to different vital processes in population forecasts

Alho, Juha M. - In: International journal of forecasting 8 (1992) 3, pp. 301-314

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001330608

Controlling the effects of demographic risks : the role of pension indexation schemes

Alho, Juha M.; Hougaard Jensen, Svend Erik; Lassila, Jukka - In: Journal of pension economics and finance 4 (2005) 2, pp. 139-153

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003014201

Global Ageing and Macroeconomic Consequences of Demographic Uncertainty in a Multi-Regional Model

Alho, Juha M. - 2010

In this paper, we investigate the impact of demographic uncertainty in a multi-regional general equilibrium, overlapping generations model (INGENUE 2). Specifically, we will consider the level of uncertainty in each of the ten major regions of the world, and their correlation across regions. In...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137282

Assessing components of uncertainty in demographic forecasts with an application to fiscal sustainability

Alho, Juha M.; Lassila, Jukka - In: Journal of forecasting 42 (2023) 7, pp. 1560-1568

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014432721

Changing population of Europe : uncertain future : UPE

Alders, Maarten (contributor); Keilman, Nico (contributor); … - European Commission / Directorate-General for Research - 2005

Brief description of the project: Apart from coordination the project consists of seven work packages. WP2 analyses errors of past forecasts. On the assumption that the future distribution of forecast errors is the same as in the past, errors of past forecasts can be used to calculate the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015317142