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betrachtet dazu die Inflationsdynamiken in sechs verschiedenen Ländern (USA, Großbritannien, Deutschland, Frankreich, Kanada und …This paper empirically compares sticky-price and sticky-information Phillips curves considering inflation dynamics in … six countries (US, UK, Germany, France, Canada, and Japan). We evaluate the models‘ abilities to match empirical second …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009124276
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008934390
This paper empirically compares sticky-price and sticky-information Phillips curves considering inflation dynamics in … six countries (US, UK, Germany, France, Canada, and Japan). We evaluate the models‘ abilities to match empirical second … moments of inflation. Under baseline calibrations, the two models perform similarly in almost all countries. Under estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125626
We investigate the relevance of the Carroll's sticky information model of inflation expectations for four major … European economies (France, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom). Using survey data on household and expert inflation … expectations we argue that the model adequately captures the dynamics of household inflation expectations. We estimate two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426367
professional forecasters from four major European economies. Our estimates imply that inflation expectations in France, Germany and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426368
The response of US inflation to the high levels of spare capacity during the Great Recession of 2007-09 was rather … inflation, and either the closing of this gap or non-linearities in the Phillips curve could lead to a sudden pick-up in … inflation. We revisit these issues by estimating Phillips curves over 1992Q1 to 2015Q1. Our main findings suggest that a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636747
A regime shift towards increased inflation expectations is credited with jumpstarting the recovery from the Great … Depression in the United States. Germany experienced a recovery as fast and strong in the 1930s. What role did inflation … expectations play at the start of this remarkable economic upturn? To answer this question, we study inflation expectations in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159651
during and following the recent Great Recession, and that models in which inflation depends on economic slack cannot explain … the recent muted behavior of inflation, given the sharp drop in output that occurred in 2008-09. In this paper, we use a … protracted decline in inflation. The model does so even though inflation remains very dependent on the evolution of both economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009744674
One of the most surprising features of the long current expansion has been the decline in price inflation through the … late 1990s. Some observers interpret the decline as evidence of a permanent change in the relationship between inflation … - most notably, a decrease in import prices - can account for the low inflation rates in recent years …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014064931
We use Bayesian additive regression trees to reexamine the efficiency of growth and inflation forecasts for Germany. To …-term growth and longer-term inflation forecasts. We cannot reject weak efficiency of short-term growth and inflation forecasts. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822387